A forecasting marketplace
Forecast the things that matter.
A marketplace for the events the world's biggest exchanges overlook — regional politics, climate, disease outbreaks, frontier research. Every question carries a public resolution criterion. Every source is named.
BTC จะแตะ $200K ก่อนสิ้นปี 2026?
Resolves via Election Commission of Thailand official announcement. Sample data — real-money trading is not yet live.
Featured
Markets moving right now.
A live cross-section across politics, climate, health, crypto, and frontier research. Click any to see the order book, resolution criteria, and price history.
BTC จะแตะ $200K ก่อนสิ้นปี 2026?
Tesla จะปล่อย FSD V13 stable build (non-beta) ภายใน 2026?
ประเทศไทยจะมีการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปก่อน Q4 2027?
Polymarket จะ launch บน Solana ภายใน Q3 2026?
เชียงใหม่จะมี PM2.5 > 150 ug/m3 ติดกัน 14 วันใน Q3 2026?
ASF outbreak ใหม่ในฟาร์มหมูไทยภายใน 90 วัน?
How it works
A forecasting venue, not a casino.
Every market is a yes-or-no question with a public, machine-verifiable resolution criterion. Trade YES or NO shares — the price IS the crowd's probability estimate.
Pick a question
Browse markets across politics, climate, public health, frontier research, crypto, and culture. Every question has its resolution criterion published before you trade.
Take a position
Buy YES or NO shares. Your buy price is your edge — pay less than your conviction implies, and the market is paying you to be right.
Resolution and payout
When the event resolves, holders of the correct outcome get paid $1 per share. Disputes go through a multi-source verifier with a human appeal panel.
Why Foresight
The markets the giants will never list.
Polymarket and Kalshi serve US politics and global crypto. The world has a thousand other questions worth pricing — regional elections, monsoon timing, disease outbreaks, AI research milestones, sleeper events the broadsheets miss. We list those.
- Region focusUS + globalUS onlyRegional first → global
- Regional politics——✓
- Public health + disease——✓
- Frontier research——✓
- Developer-first surfaceRetro-fitAPI onlyMCP-native, day one
- Resolution modelUMA optimisticInternal teamMulti-source + appeal
Trust + transparency
Forecasting earns trust the slow way.
A prediction market is only as good as its resolution. Every market on Foresight carries the same four guarantees from day one.
Public resolution criteria
Every market publishes its resolution criterion before the first trade. No interpretation room added later. If we cannot write a verifiable criterion, we do not list the market.
Named primary sources
Each resolution names the authoritative source — government statistics offices, official electoral commissions, peer-reviewed publications, exchange data feeds. No anonymous oracle votes.
Multi-source verifier + appeal
A verifier cross-checks each resolution against multiple sources and refuses ambiguous calls. Disputed resolutions escalate to a human appeal panel on a published timeline.
Audit log on-chain
Resolution decisions, source citations, and appeal outcomes are written to a public on-chain attestation. Anyone can re-run the audit.
For developers
The first prediction market your agent can talk to.
Every market is exposed through the Model Context Protocol — the open standard for letting language-model agents query state, propose new markets, and stream resolution events. No SDK lock-in. No proprietary authentication.
foresight_list_marketsBrowse, filter, sort live marketsforesight_get_marketProbability, OI, volume, historyforesight_propose_marketCreate a market with verifiable criteriaforesight_resolve_checkDry-run the multi-source verifierforesight_stream_eventsSubscribe to trade and resolve events
# Any MCP-aware agent can use the public surface
$ claude mcp add foresight https://foresight.cuvetsmo.com/mcp
You: What's moving in the regional politics category?
Agent: Top by 24h volume from foresight_list_markets:
• Thailand snap election before Q4 2027
YES 42% · $184k volume · 16mo left
• Indonesia 2029 — Coalition A wins
YES 31% · $6k volume · 32mo left
Want a deeper look at either, or shall I
propose a new market in this category?Open spec · public OpenAPI · WebSocket stream · same fees for bots and humans.
Roadmap
Wedge the venue first, then expand.
Geography + verticals prove the venue. Developer surface turns us into infrastructure. Global expansion follows liquidity, not the other way around.
Forecasting marketplace beta
- Seed markets across politics, climate, health, research
- Mock liquidity to validate product feel
- Public resolution criteria for every market
- Free educational tier
Developer surface and resolver
- Public MCP server with five tools
- Multi-source verifier and appeal panel
- Gas-sponsored smart-wallet onboarding
- Public market proposal flow
Global expansion
- USDC settlement on Base mainnet
- Mobile-first PWA, English plus Thai plus Bahasa
- Liquidity grants for professional market makers
- Open-source the protocol layer
About Foresight
Markets are how the world figures out what it actually believes.
Prediction markets crossed ten billion dollars in monthly volume in early 2026. The infrastructure built so far serves a handful of categories — US politics, global crypto, major sports. Foresight is built for everything else — the regional, the vertical, the events that already shape lives but never make it onto a screen.