Livewc30-1.5b-viewers#worldcup#fifa#audience
นัดชิง World Cup 2030 จะมีผู้ชม > 1.5B?
World Cup 2030 final — global TV audience > 1.5 billion?
YES probability
48%NO 52%
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if FIFA official post-tournament audit reports a global cumulative live audience for the final match > 1.5 billion within 6 months of the final whistle.
Sourcesfifa.com official auditKantar Sport report
Curated sample market. Zero trades yet. The 48% number above is a reference probability, not a crowd-derived price. Order book below is illustrative depth shown to convey the future UX — turn waitlist intent into a real position when trading opens in Phase 1.
YES bids
mock depth- 48¢$1,240
- 47¢$2,100
- 46¢$880
- 45¢$3,220
NO bids
mock depth- 52¢$1,840
- 51¢$760
- 50¢$2,540
- 49¢$1,120