Livelumpy-skin-2026#lsd#cattle#vet
Lumpy Skin Disease กลับมาระบาดในวัวไทยภายใน 2026?
Will Lumpy Skin Disease (LSD) re-emerge in Thai cattle with a confirmed DLD outbreak before 2026-12-31?
YES probability
51%NO 49%
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if the Department of Livestock Development (DLD) confirms a Lumpy Skin Disease (LSD) outbreak in a Thai cattle herd before 2026-12-31.
Sourcesdld.go.thWOAH disease alerts
Curated sample market. Zero trades yet. The 51% number above is a reference probability, not a crowd-derived price. Order book below is illustrative depth shown to convey the future UX — turn waitlist intent into a real position when trading opens in Phase 1.
YES bids
mock depth- 51¢$1,240
- 50¢$2,100
- 49¢$880
- 48¢$3,220
NO bids
mock depth- 49¢$1,840
- 48¢$760
- 47¢$2,540
- 46¢$1,120