Foresight
Livelumpy-skin-2026#lsd#cattle#vet

Lumpy Skin Disease กลับมาระบาดในวัวไทยภายใน 2026?

Will Lumpy Skin Disease (LSD) re-emerge in Thai cattle with a confirmed DLD outbreak before 2026-12-31?

YES probability
51%NO 49%

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if the Department of Livestock Development (DLD) confirms a Lumpy Skin Disease (LSD) outbreak in a Thai cattle herd before 2026-12-31.

Sourcesdld.go.thWOAH disease alerts
Curated sample market. Zero trades yet. The 51% number above is a reference probability, not a crowd-derived price. Order book below is illustrative depth shown to convey the future UX — turn waitlist intent into a real position when trading opens in Phase 1.

YES bids

mock depth
  • 51¢$1,240
  • 50¢$2,100
  • 49¢$880
  • 48¢$3,220

NO bids

mock depth
  • 49¢$1,840
  • 48¢$760
  • 47¢$2,540
  • 46¢$1,120

Cross-venue comparison