Liveph-presidential-2028#philippines#election#sea
พรรครัฐบาลฟิลิปปินส์จะรักษาตำแหน่ง presidential 2028?
Will the incumbent coalition in the Philippines retain the presidency in the 2028 election?
YES probability
38%NO 62%
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Comelec (Commission on Elections) certifies the winning candidate as a member of the coalition holding the presidency on 2026-05-27, before 2028-05-15.
Sourcescomelec.gov.phReuters election desk
Curated sample market. Zero trades yet. The 38% number above is a reference probability, not a crowd-derived price. Order book below is illustrative depth shown to convey the future UX — turn waitlist intent into a real position when trading opens in Phase 1.
YES bids
mock depth- 38¢$1,240
- 37¢$2,100
- 36¢$880
- 35¢$3,220
NO bids
mock depth- 62¢$1,840
- 61¢$760
- 60¢$2,540
- 59¢$1,120